Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in November 2026?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73.6%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleSep 21, 26, 12:05 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves based on the "Russian Net Monthly Advance" report of Black Bird group (positive values resolve NO, negative resolve YES) - typically published at their X account (x.com/Black_BirdGroup).
- Here is their assessment as of August 2026 (from Black Bird Group (@Black_BirdGroup) on X ):
- [image]If the group does not publish a new assessment following the same methodology by December 1st, this resolves NA
