Will Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 95%
Forecasters
13
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingDec 17, 25, 11:30 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if, before January 20, 2029, if all of the following occur:
- Donald Trump makes a public statement or announcement confirming that he has converted to Judaism.
- The conversion is formally recognized by a Jewish religious authority or organization, such as a recognized rabbinical court (Beth Din) or a major Jewish religious organization or synagogue.
- The conversion and its recognition are reported by at least one major, credible news outlet.
- The market resolves to NO if these conditions are not met by January 20, 2029.
- Additional Info:
