Will Trump publicly disparage Chief Justice John Roberts during his second term?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 80.1%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleFeb 27, 25, 6:44 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Donald Trump has a history of criticizing judges and the judiciary when their decisions don't align with his preferences.
- During his first term, Trump frequently took to social media and public appearances to criticize judges who ruled against his administration's policies.
- Chief Justice John Roberts, appointed by President George W. Bush in 2005, has occasionally pushed back against Trump's characterization of the judiciary.
- In 2018, Roberts issued a rare public statement defending judicial independence after Trump criticized an "Obama judge" for ruling against his asylum policy.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, during his second presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029), Donald Trump publicly disparages Chief Justice John Roberts in any of the following ways:
