Will Trump finish his second term?

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-1.0pt65.3%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt25.7%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt7.9%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$36.9M

24h Vol

$3.6M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-1.0pt64.5%
• Ken Paxton+1.0pt36.5%

Total Vol

$40.9M

24h Vol

$2M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.9pt90.3%
• Republican Party+0.7pt9.6%

Total Vol

$69.5M

24h Vol

$1.7M

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+2.0pt95%
• 25 bps increase-2.0pt5%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 22+1.4pt100%
• October 24+6.0pt99%
• October 28+5.0pt90%

+17 more outcomes

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt66%
• D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep