If Trump is elected in 2024, he finish his second term?

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep-1.0pt65.3%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt25.7%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt7.9%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$36.9M

24h Vol

$3.6M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro+4.8pt82%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-5.0pt18%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$196.3M

24h Vol

$2.8M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-2.0pt63.5%
• Ken Paxton+1.0pt36.5%

Total Vol

$40.9M

24h Vol

$2M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.9pt90.3%
• Republican Party+0.7pt9.6%

Total Vol

$69.5M

24h Vol

$1.7M

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%+7.0pt45.1%
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%-1.5pt31.4%
• Lula da Silva <4%-5.0pt15.7%

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-1.0pt66%
• D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep