Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 3:04 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 11:53 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
will trump die before halloween ends?
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump's death is officially announced as having occurred between September 1, 2026 (12:00 AM ET) and September 30, 2026 (11:59 PM ET).
- It will resolve to NO if he is alive at the end of this period.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from the White House or reports from major, reputable news organizations (such as AP News or Reuters).
- The official announced date and time of death will dictate the resolution.
- Donald Trump is currently serving as the 47th President of the United States.