Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.4%
Forecasters
47
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJan 5, 26, 11:38 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if either Joe Biden or Donald Trump are confirmed by consensus of credible reporting to be deceased by 11:59pm ET, December 31st 2026.
- Resolves YES if both die.
- Resolves NO if neither do.
