Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.4%
Forecasters
47
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 5, 26, 11:38 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
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Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if either Joe Biden or Donald Trump are confirmed by consensus of credible reporting to be deceased by 11:59pm ET, December 31st 2026.
- Resolves YES if both die.
- Resolves NO if neither do.
