Will there be another significant accident in a nuclear power plant before 2035?
GeopoliticsOne-Off8y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 78.7%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleDec 21, 25, 10:41 PM UTCJan 1, 35, 10:33 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
This market resolves YES if a nuclear power plant accident rated INES Level 7 (the highest severity level on the International Nuclear Event Scale) occurs before January 1, 2035.
- To date, only Chernobyl (1986) and Fukushima Daiichi (2011) have been rated INES level 7.
- Resolution will be determined by official IAEA classification.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Nuclear_and_Radiological_Event_Scale
