Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 90.6%
No 90.6%Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 23 hours ago
StaleJan 31, 23, 7:28 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rolls Royce SMR nuclear power by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich year will the first nuclear power plant in Poland start producing power?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine suffer nuclear power plant meltdowns during the Russia war?
Manifold MarketsWill there be another significant accident in a nuclear power plant before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWill any country become a new nuclear power in 2026?
FutuurRules
This prediction market resolves YES when the first Small Modular Reactor (SMR) power plant in Poland starts producing energy (including tests), as defined and determined by diverse mainstream media reports.
- If this does not happen before the January 1, 2029 deadline, however, the market resolves NO.
- „Pierwszy SMR powstanie w 2028 r.
- To już niebawem.
- I to jest czas realny do wykonania.” (Daniel Obajtek, 2023-01-31)
- „Mam taką nadzieję, że w 2028 r., te prace zdecydowanie przyspieszają, powstanie pierwszy SMR w Polsce.
