What are the current odds for Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034??

Manifold Markets prices No at 75.8% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034? resolve?

Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2036.

How is Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: @/strutheo/will-the-51st-state-be-washington-d

Paper trade this

Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034?

One-OffUS Politics Politics9y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

No 75.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 46 minutes ago

Lagging

Apr 10, 24, 1:34 AM UTCJan 1, 36, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

@/strutheo/will-the-51st-state-be-washington-d

@/strutheo/will-the-51st-state-be-puerto-rico
@/strutheo/will-there-be-a-51st-state-by-hallo
@/strutheo/will-there-be-a-51st-state-by-the-e-5d31e0e1cfd2

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Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034?

Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034?

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Frequently asked questions

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Open markets

Fed Decision in October?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the U.S. House?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

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