Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 76.3%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleDec 21, 23, 2:57 PM UTCNov 1, 35, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 76% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035? resolve?
- Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2035.
- How is Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: @/strutheo/will-the-51st-state-be-washington-d