Will the US change to permanent Standard Time before 2030?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsRussia / UkraineLatin America3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 72%
Forecasters
29
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 30, 23, 5:56 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
During the past few decades, a trend has occurred where most countries have eliminated Daylight Savings Time and switched to year-round standard time.
- Some, like Russia, first attempted to use year-round daylight time before correcting the mistake with year-round standard time.
- Several years ago, Mexico eliminated Daylight Savings Time except in areas that are close to US states that observe it.
- A bill was introduced in 2022 to create year-round daylight time in the United States, but like has happened elsewhere, states using year-round standard time prevented its advance to the House floor.
- This market resolves to YES if the Federal government mandates that all states use year-round standard time before December 31, 2029.
- If the US ceases to exist before then, it resolves to N/A. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
