Will the US change to and retain permanent Daylight Savings Time before 2030?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsRussia / UkraineLatin AmericaSociety & Culture3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 8, 2026, 2:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 63.1%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 30, 23, 6:29 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PredictItRules
During the past few decades, a trend has occurred where most countries have eliminated Daylight Savings Time and switched to year-round standard time.
- Some, like Russia, first attempted to use year-round daylight time before correcting the mistake with year-round standard time.
- Several years ago, Mexico eliminated Daylight Savings Time except in areas that are close to US states that observe it.
- However, the US may buck that trend.
- A bill was introduced in 2022 to create year-round daylight time in the United States, but like has happened elsewhere, states using year-round standard time prevented its advance to the House floor.
- This market resolves to YES if the Federal government mandates that all states, including those using year-round standard time currently, use year-round daylight time before December 31, 2029, and the US is still using year-round daylight time on December 31, 2029.
