Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 86%
Forecasters
59
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleDec 24, 24, 11:52 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolves yes if the US buys or annexes new territory.
- Excludes temporarily occupied territory within the context of an active military conflict.
- Excludes immaterial gains through the redrawing of international waters boundaries or immaterial gains through the redrawing of borders wherein the US also gives up territory.
- I determine materiality.
- The “spirit” of this market is whether Trump will pursue expansionism.
- INCLUDES territory seized with stipulations for relinquishment that include benefits to the US.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term? resolve?
- Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term? is scheduled to resolve on January 21, 2029.
- How is Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if the US buys or annexes new territory.