Will the US acquire new territory during Trump’s second term?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsRussia / Ukraine2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 86%
No 86%Forecasters
59
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Dec 24, 24, 11:52 PM UTCJan 21, 29, 6:59 AM UTC
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KalshiHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
KalshiRules
Resolves yes if the US buys or annexes new territory.
- Excludes temporarily occupied territory within the context of an active military conflict.
- Excludes immaterial gains through the redrawing of international waters boundaries or immaterial gains through the redrawing of borders wherein the US also gives up territory.
- I determine materiality.
- The “spirit” of this market is whether Trump will pursue expansionism.
- INCLUDES territory seized with stipulations for relinquishment that include benefits to the US.
