Will the Republican presidential candidate endorsed by Trump win the 2028 Republican primaries?

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Current community forecast

Yes 80.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Stale

Nov 6, 24, 2:57 PM UTCJul 1, 28, 3:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

I think this is a good measure of how much influence Trump/MAGA will have on the future of the Republican party.

Will Trump endorse a candidate for the primaries who goes on to win the primary and become the 2028 Republican presidential candidate?
Some potential resolution cases:
Trump does not endorse a candidate: N/A
Trump runs himself and wins: Yes
Trump endorses a third party candidate who becomes a serious candidate but does not win the Republican primary: No

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