Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 78.4%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleJun 12, 25, 8:52 PM UTCJan 22, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a white man?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump still be president on January 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be US vice president on January 1st 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be president on January 19, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.