Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 80.8%
Forecasters
46
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 2, 25, 10:20 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Donald Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will he still be the president on January 21st, 2029?
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FutuurRules
According to the U.S. Constitution, presidential terms begin on January 20th following an election and last exactly 4 years.
- If Donald is inaugurated as the 47th president on January 20, 2025, his term would end on January 20, 2029.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump is serving as President of the United States on January 1, 2029.
- This market will resolve NO if Trump is inaugurated but no longer in office on January 1, 2029
