Will the Israeli government significantly undermine the next election?
One-OffElectionPoliticsMiddle East
Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (92.7%)
Resolved: Oct 11, 2026, 5:58 PM
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Data as of Oct 10, 2026, 4:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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Examples of things that would qualify:
- Postponing the election by three months or more (past the full 4-year term)
- Banning one or more (nontrivial) parties from running (e.g. banning one of the main Arab parties)
- Introducing significant barriers to voting (e.g. removing voting booths from most Arab towns or making election day not be a holiday)
- This isn't a universal description, but that's the minimum level of severity for this to settle as yes.
- Will answer whether any other hypotheticals raised in the comments count.
