Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.2%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 28, 24, 7:34 AM UTCJun 30, 30, 8:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will even 500m of Saudi Arabia's "The Line" project be built until 2030?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Poll end when the project date postponeds or is completed
- In 2018 Saudi crown prince announced a new half a trillion dollars project called NEOM, one of it's biggest project is linear city The Line.
- A linear smart city construction in Saudi Arabia in Neom, Tabuk Province, which is designed to have no cars, streets or carbon emissions.
- The Line is planned to be the first development of a $500 billion project in Neom.
- The city's plans anticipated a population of 9 million (25% of Saudi Arabia's then population of 35.5 million) and were later scaled down to 300,000 people.
- Originally intended to be 170km long by 2030, it now aims for to 2.4km to be completed by then.
Open markets
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- June 30, 202726%
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+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $25.8M
- 24h Vol
- $412K
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+1.8pt97%
- September 25+7.5pt92%
- September 30+6.0pt81%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $67.1M
- 24h Vol
- $248.3K
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-4.3pt85%
- USA+8.4pt14%
- Switzerland-0.3pt1%
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 3119%
- October 31-0.5pt10%
- September 302%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt58.8%
- October 31-0.5pt32.4%
- September 30-2.0pt7.8%
+17 more outcomes
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- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
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- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Saudi Arabia truly complete the line city project by 2030?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 92% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Will Saudi Arabia truly complete the line city project by 2030 resolve?
- Will Saudi Arabia truly complete the line city project by 2030 is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2030.
- How is Will Saudi Arabia truly complete the line city project by 2030 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Poll end when the project date postponeds or is completed