Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.7%
Forecasters
52
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleApr 8, 24, 1:55 PM UTCAug 8, 52, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will China have its first female General Secretary before Russia has its first female President?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This question resolves to whatever the president states to identify. [Meaning a trans woman would resolve to yes.]
- If Russia or the US splits up, this question will resolve according to the split with the biggest population.
- If the countries further don't have a president, I or a moderator are free to judge which position comes closest to it, and it will count as a matter for this question.
- The closing time might be extended.
- @/Lion/will-china-have-its-first-female-ge
- @/Lion/will-china-have-its-first-female-ge-95d95bebfc61
