Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.9%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleApr 24, 26, 3:43 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US?
Manifold MarketsIf Putin attends the G20 summit in 2026, will any of the listed leader not attend?
Manifold MarketsWill Germany attend a Ukraine peace summit with Russia that excludes the US before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
LimitlessWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin attends the 2026 G20 Summit in person, which is scheduled to be hosted by the United States.
- It resolves to "No" if he does not attend in person for any reason, including absence, sending a representative, or participating virtually.
- Official confirmation from the G20 organizers or credible international news outlets will be used to determine resolution.
- The G20 Summit is an annual meeting of the leaders of the world's twenty largest economies.
- The United States is scheduled to host the summit in 2026.
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-6.0pt74%
- September 18-6.0pt69%
- September 11-8.5pt62%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $424.6K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+0.4pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+3.0pt79.2%
- Yes-3.0pt20.8%
- Total Vol
- $10.9M
- 24h Vol
- $286K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.8%
- September 3011.9%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Putin attend the G20 Summit in the US in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Putin attend the G20 Summit in the US in 2026? resolve?
- Will Putin attend the G20 Summit in the US in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Putin attend the G20 Summit in the US in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria