Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)?
One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitics2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 74.6%
Forecasters
121
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 25, 25, 1:15 PM UTCJan 16, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)? resolve?
- Will Pete Hegseth serve a full term as Secretary of Defense (until January 2029)? is scheduled to resolve on January 16, 2029.