Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 19, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 77%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleSep 18, 22, 6:56 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 6:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Pete Buttigieg ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Buttigieg announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if Pete Buttigieg is ever elected President of the United States.
- Otherwise, resolves NO when he dies, or the US ceases to exist.
