Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastbefore Mar 31, 2028 79%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
14
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleDec 30, 25, 11:58 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg run for President in 2028
Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- For each answer, resolve YES if he makes an official public announcement that she is running for U.S. president in the 2028 election on or before that answer’s cutoff; resolve NO otherwise. “before [date]” is treated as on or before 11:59:59 pm Eastern Time on that date.
- e.g. if the announcement occurs on Dec 15, 2027, the "the named outcome" AND "the named outcome" options resolve YES.
- Acceptable evidence (use the earliest timestamp across sources):
- FEC Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) filed for a 2028 presidential run.
- An explicit statement by him or an authorized spokesperson that he is running for president in 2028 (e.g., on his verified social accounts or official site).
