When will Pete Buttigieg announce his presidential candidacy?
16.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElection11mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Oct 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Oct 1, 2027 92%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before Oct 1, 2027 92%Market quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$200
Open interest
$6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Oct 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Oct 12, 26, 5:30 PM UTCOct 1, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
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Trends
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Venue terms
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- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Oct 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Pete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWhen will Pete Buttigieg announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg run for President in 2028
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItRules
If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Feb 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Pete Buttigieg has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Dec 1, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
