Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 86.9% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? resolve?

Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? is scheduled to resolve on February 28, 2027.

How is Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market is based on the statements by Merz seen on Channel 4 News on X

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KALSHI

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

• No one+16.0pt57.5%
• Benjamin Netanyahu+12.0pt27.5%
• Gadi Eizenkot-35.0pt15.5%

+16 more outcomes

Total Vol

$7M

24h Vol

$4.2M

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 28+2.2pt99%
• October 31+2.0pt96%
• November 8+1.0pt73%

+17 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 27+0.9pt100%
• October 31+2.8pt97%
• November 1569%

+28 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31-0.5pt60%
• December 31-1.1pt35%
• November 30-2.0pt21%

+21 more outcomes

KALSHI

Which bloc will win a Knesset majority?

• None+12.0pt98.5%
• Netanyahu bloc-13.0pt1.5%
• Opposition bloc-5.0pt

POLYMARKET

Netanyahu out by which date?

• June 30,-32.0pt40%
• March 31,-39.0pt28%
• December 31-24.5pt21%

+5 more outcomes

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
• Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
• How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
• Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats?
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
• Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
• US-Iran nuclear deal?