Will Massachusetts enact frontier AI safety legislation during the 194th General Court?
PoliticsAIOne-OffRegulationUS PoliticsElection2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 86.3%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleOct 30, 26, 12:01 AM UTCJan 21, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the BRIGHT Act pass in the Massachusetts 194th General Court?
Manifold MarketsWill Massachusetts Bill SD.2808 pass in the 194th General Court?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
FutuurWill Ohio House Bill 249 be signed into law in the 136th General Assembly?
Manifold MarketsCrypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Mirrors the Metaculus question of the same name (metaculus.com/questions/45736).
- Resolution Criteria
- This question will resolve as YES if legislation containing frontier AI safety provisions becomes law in Massachusetts during the 194th General Court — by the Governor's signature, by lapse of the ten-day period while the General Court remains in session, or by legislative override of a veto.
- To count, the enacted text must include all four of the following:
- (1) A requirement that covered frontier AI developers produce and publish a framework addressing catastrophic or critical risks from their models.
- (2) A requirement that covered developers report critical safety incidents to the Attorney General or another Commonwealth agency.
