Will Lula win the October 25, 2026 presidential runoff in Brazil?
One-OffElectionLatin AmericaPolitics2hManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 73%
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11
Question type
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 24, 26, 11:08 PM UTCOct 25, 26, 7:00 PM UTC
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Kalshi🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
Manifold MarketsRules
The runoff is between Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro.
- Resolves YES if Lula is declared the winner according to the official results of Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE).
- Resolves NO if Flávio Bolsonaro is declared the winner.
- Resolves N/A if the runoff is postponed beyond November 15, 2026.
- Trading closes October 25, 2026 at 12:00 Paris time, before polls close.
- The creator will not bet on this market and will resolve it only after the official results.
