Will Luigi Mangione plead extreme emotional disturbance or not guilty by reason of mental illness?
One-OffCrime & JusticeUS Politics3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 98.7%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleDec 24, 24, 6:36 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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PolymarketRules
Question will resolve positively if, in Mangione’s state trial for the alleged murder of Brian Thompson, his defense attorneys assert either the affirmative defense of extreme emotional disturbance or that he is not guilty by reason of mental illness.
- There is a similar existing question that includes substance impairment and would also IMO include mental illness arguments made at sentencing.
- This question is intended to more narrowly focus on arguments of mental illness or extreme emotional disturbance made before a verdict.
- https://manifold.markets/SirSalty/will-luigi-magiones-defense-claim-m
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Luigi Mangione plead extreme emotional disturbance or not guilty by reason of mental illness??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Luigi Mangione plead extreme emotional disturbance or not guilty by reason of mental illness? resolve?
- Will Luigi Mangione plead extreme emotional disturbance or not guilty by reason of mental illness? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Luigi Mangione plead extreme emotional disturbance or not guilty by reason of mental illness? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Question will resolve positively if, in Mangione’s state trial for the alleged murder of Brian Thompson, his defense attorneys assert either the affirmative defense of extreme emotional disturbance or that he is not guilty by reason of mental illness.