Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson
One-OffCrime & Justice
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 99%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 5, 25, 5:53 AM UTCJan 1, 01, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Background Luigi Mangione is currently facing multiple charges, including first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism and second-degree murder, for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson.
- On December 23, 2024, Mangione entered a not guilty plea in a New York court.
- The case is being pursued at both state and federal levels.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Luigi Mangione changes his plea to guilty for any of the charges related to the shooting of Brian Thompson, either in state or federal court, before the case goes to trial.
- This includes plea bargains where he pleads guilty to lesser charges.
- The market will resolve NO if:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 99% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson resolve?
- Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 3001.
- How is Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Background Luigi Mangione is currently facing multiple charges, including first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism and second-degree murder, for the shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson.