Will Joe Rogan Run for President of the United States Before 2037?
PoliticsOne-OffCombat SportsUS PoliticsElectionSports10y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 90.1%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 12, 26, 5:22 PM UTCDec 31, 36, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market resolves YES if Joe Rogan formally becomes a candidate for president of the United States at any point between market creation and December 31, 2036, whether as a Republican, Democrat, independent, third-party candidate, or write-in candidate.
- It resolves NO if Rogan does not become a presidential candidate by that deadline.
- Resolution criteria:
- A qualifying candidacy requires at least one of the following:
- Rogan publicly and unambiguously announces that he is running for president and takes a concrete step toward organizing a campaign.
- Rogan files a Statement of Candidacy (FEC Form 2) with the Federal Election Commission identifying himself as a presidential candidate.
