Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 61.8%
Forecasters
42
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMay 16, 24, 8:13 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Donald Trump be alive to see 2030?
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PolymarketRules
Resolved YES if Biden is alive on 1/1/2030
- Resolved NO if Biden passes away before 12/31/2029
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030? resolve?
- Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolved YES if Biden is alive on 1/1/2030