What are the current odds for Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 59.8% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030? resolve?

Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolved YES if Biden is alive on 1/1/2030

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Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030?

US PoliticsOne-Off3y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Data quality warningSource data degraded

Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 1:36 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4

Current community forecast

No 59.8%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 9 hours ago

Stale

May 16, 24, 8:13 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Resolved YES if Biden is alive on 1/1/2030

Resolved NO if Biden passes away before 12/31/2029

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Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030?

Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030?

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Frequently asked questions

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