Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 59.4%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleMay 16, 24, 10:03 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolved YES if Trump is alive on 1/1/2030
- Resolved NO if Trump passes away before 12/31/2029