What are the current odds for Will Israel still exist at the beginning of 2032??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 96% as of October 29, 2026.

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Will Israel still exist at the beginning of 2032?

One-OffGeopolitics Middle East5y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 96%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 11 hours ago

Stale

Oct 18, 23, 2:12 AM UTCJan 2, 32, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Will Israel still exist at the beginning of 2032?

Will Israel still exist at the beginning of 2032?

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Frequently asked questions

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US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?