Will Idaho HJR 4 (legislative authority over psychoactive drugs) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection9d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 7:03 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 60%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 6, 26, 6:40 AM UTCNov 4, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Idaho HJR 6 (English as official state language) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Louisiana Amendment 2 (millage rate adjustment authority) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Colorado Amendment 84 (ID requirement for mail ballots) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Idaho Proposition 1 (reproductive freedom and privacy act) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsHouse favorite on November 2 wins the election?
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if Idaho HJR 4 (Amendment to Idaho Constitution - House Joint Resolution 4 (Section 26, Article III, psychoactive substances)) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Simple majority of votes cast on the question (Idaho Const. art.
- XX §1, 'majority of the electors')
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
- What the votes mean (official summary):