Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 87.9%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Nov 4, 26, 7:47 AM UTCJan 3, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Speaker of the House be Someone Other Than Mike Johnson OR Hakeem Jeffries before March 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill hakeem jeffries be house speaker after the 2026 mid terms?
Manifold MarketsWill Hakeem Jeffries be Speaker following the 2026 Election?
Manifold MarketsIF democrats win the house, will Hakeem Jeffries be their speaker?
Manifold MarketsHow many votes will Hakeem Jeffries get on first ballot?
PolymarketWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 119th Congress?
PredictItRules
Resolves Yes if Hakeem Jeffries is elected Speaker of the House by the full House of Representatives when the 120th Congress convenes in January 2027 (or any earlier special election for Speaker).
- Resolves No otherwise.
- Source: official House vote and Clerk of the House records / major wire services (AP, Reuters)
