Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 25, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 24.6%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 30 days ago
StaleNov 3, 24, 1:22 AMJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes25%
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.