Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 54.4%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleMay 27, 25, 7:34 PM UTCMay 28, 40, 7:19 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if a nuclear fission or NO if a nuclear fusion power plant is operational, whichever happens first (market to be extended if necessary).
- The reactor must be located in Germany and electricity must be fed into the grid (reactors only for research or isotope production don't count).
Open markets
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.1M
- 24h Vol
- $3M
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt44.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 2027+2.0pt75%
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $47.9K
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion? resolve?
- Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion? is scheduled to resolve on May 28, 2040.
- How is Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if a nuclear fission or NO if a nuclear fusion power plant is operational, whichever happens first (market to be extended if necessary).