Will France's next president officially apologize to Algeria for colonization?
PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsElection5y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 64.8%
Forecasters
5
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 25, 26, 1:17 PM UTCMay 30, 32, 11:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if the President of France who takes office after the 2027 presidential election makes an explicit official apology ("excuses"/"apology," not merely acknowledgment or "regret") to Algeria for French colonization (1830–1962), in an official capacity (speech, written statement, or diplomatic communication), before the end of their term (2032).
- Resolves NO if no such apology is made by the end of the term, or if the statement only acknowledges historical wrongs/crimes against humanity without using apology language.
- Context: No French president has ever issued a formal apology for the colonization of Algeria, despite repeated Algerian demands.
- Algeria passed a law in Dec. 2025 demanding an official apology and reparations from France; the final version (adopted March 2026) dropped that demand.
- Relations remain tense following France's 2024 recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara.
- Resolution source: major outlets (AFP, Le Monde, Reuters, France 24) or official statements from the Élysée.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will France's next president officially apologize to Algeria for colonization??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 65% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will France's next president officially apologize to Algeria for colonization? resolve?
- Will France's next president officially apologize to Algeria for colonization? is scheduled to resolve on May 30, 2032.
- How is Will France's next president officially apologize to Algeria for colonization? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the President of France who takes office after the 2027 presidential election makes an explicit official apology ("excuses"/"apology," not merely acknowledgment or "regret") to Algeria for French colonization (1830–1962), in an official capacity (speech, written statement, or diplomatic communication), before the end of their term (2032).