Will either Trump or Xi explicitly mention Taiwan during the upcoming summit?
24.8 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsChina6dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes, Taiwan will be explicitly mentioned 74.8%+24.8pt
Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+24.8 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 21, 26, 9:39 AM UTCSep 27, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Either in remarks, or questions, or official communiques from the meeting.
- EXCLUSION: if Taiwan is referenced in a question that either of them dodges.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if "Taiwan" is explicitly mentioned during the official proceedings of the bilateral summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping scheduled for September 24, 2026.
- Eligible sources of an explicit mention include:
- Public opening/closing remarks or statements made by Donald Trump or Xi Jinping during the summit.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will either Trump or Xi explicitly mention Taiwan during the upcoming summit??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes, Taiwan will be explicitly mentioned at 75% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will either Trump or Xi explicitly mention Taiwan during the upcoming summit? resolve?
- Will either Trump or Xi explicitly mention Taiwan during the upcoming summit? is scheduled to resolve on September 27, 2026.
- How is Will either Trump or Xi explicitly mention Taiwan during the upcoming summit? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Either in remarks, or questions, or official communiques from the meeting.