Will Donald Trump's speech at the UN General Assembly in September 2026 last longer than 45 minutes?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics22dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 70.6%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 14, 26, 9:53 AM UTCSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWhat will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?
KalshiWill Ohio House Bill 249 be signed into law in the 136th General Assembly?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump have a longer lifespan than John Quincy Adams?
Manifold MarketsDonald Trump # Truth Social posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if President Donald Trump's address to the General Debate of the 81st Session of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA 81) in September 2026 lasts longer than 45 minutes (i.e., 45 minutes and 1 second or longer).
- It will resolve to NO if the speech is 45 minutes and 00 seconds or shorter.
- Primary Source of Truth: The speech duration will be determined by the official video length listed on the dedicated video page for Donald Trump's 2026 address on UN Web TV.
- Backup Source: If the speech is not uploaded individually to UN Web TV, the duration of the speech as uploaded to the official United Nations YouTube Channel will be used.
- Preconditions: If Donald Trump does not deliver an address at the UNGA 81 General Debate (e.g., if he is represented by another official instead), this market will resolve to N/A.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump's speech at the UN General Assembly in September 2026 last longer than 45 minutes??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 71% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump's speech at the UN General Assembly in September 2026 last longer than 45 minutes? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump's speech at the UN General Assembly in September 2026 last longer than 45 minutes? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is Will Donald Trump's speech at the UN General Assembly in September 2026 last longer than 45 minutes? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria