Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 97.6%
Forecasters
32
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 15, 24, 10:21 PM UTCJan 22, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves to Yes if Donald Trump is the Republican nominee for president in 2028
- Resolve No otherwise Resolves NA if the presidential election was not held in 2028
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 22, 2028.
- How is Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to Yes if Donald Trump is the Republican nominee for president in 2028