Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 5:07 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 97.6%
No 97.6%Forecasters
32
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleJan 15, 24, 10:21 PM UTCJan 22, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves to Yes if Donald Trump is the Republican nominee for president in 2028
- Resolve No otherwise Resolves NA if the presidential election was not held in 2028
