Will Democratic candidate Josh Turek win Dubuque County in the IA-SEN election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection27dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 80.8%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleSep 17, 26, 3:00 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Josh Turek is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Josh Turek win the Iowa general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Josh Turek win the Iowa general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill Democratic candidate James Talarico win Tarrant County in the 2026 TX-SEN election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democratic candidate Sherrod Brown win Mahoning County in the OH-SEN election?
Manifold MarketsWill Democratic candidate Troy Jackson win Hancock County in the ME-SEN election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Democratic candidate Josh Turek wins the highest number of individual votes in Dubuque County, Iowa, in the United States Senate election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The market will resolve to NO if any other candidate (such as Republican Ashley Hinson or Libertarian Thomas Laehn) wins the highest number of votes in the county, or in the event of a tie.
- The primary source of truth for resolution will be the certified election results published by the Iowa Secretary of State.
- If certified results are delayed, unofficial results or credible major media calls (e.g., Associated Press) may be used for resolution once 100% of precincts in Dubuque County have reported.
- If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the next occurrence of this election.
