Will Chuck Grassley run for reelection in 2028 to a ninth term as US Senator from Iowa?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 64.6%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMay 10, 26, 3:40 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
He would turn 95 that year, and 101 at the end of his hypothetical ninth term.
- (This would beat the record set for oldest senator (100) set by Strom Thurmond.)
- He filed some paperwork to do so already, but it's nonbinding.
- Resolves YES if Grassley ends up being on the ballot.
- Resolves NO if he is not on the ballot for any reason (including not being alive).
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
