KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored price
Yes 79%
Yes 79%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$567.9
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
—
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 4:36 PM UTCMar 28, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer run for reelection?
KalshiWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoBloomberg NewsNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.