KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 68%
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
36.0% / 41.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 12:00 AM UTCApr 6, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If Chuck Schumer has announced that they will run for Senate in 2028 before Apr 6, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Chuck Schumer
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Chuck Schumer run for reelection??
- Kalshi prices No at 68% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Chuck Schumer run for reelection? resolve?
- Will Chuck Schumer run for reelection? is scheduled to resolve on April 6, 2028.
- How is Will Chuck Schumer run for reelection? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Chuck Schumer has announced that they will run for Senate in 2028 before Apr 6, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.