KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 65.5%
No 65.5%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.8K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 12:00 AM UTCApr 6, 28, 2:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will John Thune run for reelection?
KalshiWill Chuck Schumer announce he’s not running for reelection before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer announce he’s not running for reelection before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Grassley run for reelection in 2028 to a ninth term as US Senator from Iowa?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Schumer stop being Senate Democratic Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsChuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader?
KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Chuck Schumer
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
