Current community forecast
No 94.2%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMay 12, 23, 4:30 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolve YES is a Brittany independence referendum is won before 1st of January 2030, or if Brittany is declared legally or de facto independent at that date from credible sources.
- Nantes status is outside the scope of this market.
- This market was inspired by cover image of this one :
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/WXTJ/who-will-win-eurovision-2024)
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Brittany gain independence from France before 2030?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does Will Brittany gain independence from France before 2030 resolve?
- Will Brittany gain independence from France before 2030 is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Will Brittany gain independence from France before 2030 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolve YES is a Brittany independence referendum is won before 1st of January 2030, or if Brittany is declared legally or de facto independent at that date from credible sources.