Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 96.6%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 9, 23, 5:17 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurBrazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
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KalshiRules
Resolves to True if Jair Bolsonaro is on the ballots for president in 2026
- Mar 8, 6:29pm: Will Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? → Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? resolve?
- Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves to True if Jair Bolsonaro is on the ballots for president in 2026