Will Michelle Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 94.8%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 18, 23, 6:36 PM UTCJan 2, 27, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Michelle Bolsonaro either be elected president of Brazil or be the runner up in the 2026 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Tarcísio de Freitas be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsBrazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiBrazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiWho will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?
KalshiRules
Resolves to True if Michelle Bolsonaro is on the ballots for president in 2026
- Running for vice-president does not count
