Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 99%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 1:20 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Resolves yes if any us senate election in 2026 has a winning margin of 1.000% or less.
- If a senate goes to a runoff (eg.
- Georgia) resolves based on runoff only.
- First round ignored.
- In Alaska and Maine with ranked choice voting, resolves yes if the final round margin is 1.000% or less.
